Palm Springs is bathed in sun this morning - I guess it is this way most mornings but coming from chilly Connecticut it is especially appealing to feel the warmth. The party last night went on late although I retired early as it had been a long day. Again met some great people from all corners of the globe.
The proceedings this morning commence at 10am with the TED-dy session till 11am and then the main conference starts. I am hoping they have a bloggers lounge as they had last year so I can blog and not annoy people with the click of the keyboard.
Breakfast calls so i will catch up later with the posts from TED@palm Springs 2009
_______________________
The hosts, Rives and Kelly Stoetzel started the session who are going to 'manage' the conference in Palm Springs and provide the linkages to Long Beach where the main conference is being held.
Mathamagician Arthur Benjamin started the day and built a magic square using one of the audiences birth dates creating a magic number - which of course had to be 42! Basically any combination of numbers - corners, central square etc all added up to 42.
Brian Andreyaz one of the Palm Springs audience after last year had created a guide how to explain science and technology using stories. Stories will trump science and technology for ever, the story matters more than the science!
- Tell it likes you are telling it to a friend - stories okay to to your 'child self' and tend to use small words and are understandable.
- "Tell me some pictures Dad" - stories are used to get the pictures across to people - use very descriptive pictures.
- "Help me discover the pattern - your experience in a pattern that makes sense to use - the pattern doesn't have to be true but it has to make sense"
A dummies guide to how to tell stories - people will sit at your feet and offer food an sex
_______________________
I once got caught..... an improv session using name tags from the audience was the next segment. A little difficult to blog on as it is pretty unstructured but I will have a go!
"Whose line is it anyway - but with name tags!" Nancy got caught defacing a church in Ecuador, Cooper founder of motherhood.com - got caught being a mother, Errol got caught pool hopping in someone's swim pool and lost his underwear which was returned the next day by the neighbor, "Got busted by security guards at Playboy mansion for swimming in the pool", "Got caught spreading hamburgers and fries over someone's lawn", "A guy got caught crying at a Kevin Cosner film in a group of 'guys'", the Balloon sculpture visited New York city with his girlfriend and got caught having a 'blow job' on the Statin Island Ferry, "Melanie from Portland got caught leaving shoes in the kitchen - the answer to a school test was written on the inside of the shoe", Rosemary got caught half naked when her top came down whilst taking a business school photo".
_______________________
The main conference in Long Beach commences with the overture from Aida.
Chris Anderson, the curator of TED, started the main conference by celebrating 25 years of TED - people from 51 countries, 400 in Palm Springs. Are we ready from TED 2009? "People have put in so much time and passion into what we are going to see".
Reboot - Session 1
Juan Eriquez - author, sailor, Harvard professor starts TED 2009. "The big elephant in the room
is the economy - the key to managing crisis is to keep and eye on the log term - while your dancing in the flames" What does the reboot of the economy look like? Commercial bank leverage has a 9x - a normal investment back has 15 x - bank of America had a leverage of 32x! This is why the public are making generous donations to the financial institutions. The Government is acting like Santa Claus. Mandatory spending in the US is going to be a reality in 2017 - we are going to have to pay the debts off now and not leave them to our kids!
We need to pay attention to the deficit or we are going to loose the dollar. In Zimbabwe a ten trillion dollar note is worth less than $8 - this is what happens when you loose control of your currency. People think 'when hell freezes over' - in December it snowed in Vegas!
The consequence of not dealing with this stuff is that the Dow will be worth 3500 in 2026.
The first fully programmable cell was shown last year, at MIT they have built a 'Radio Shack' for biology - they engineered what is good for you in red wine and put it in beer! A few years ago Cliff Tabin had managed to grow an extra wing on a chicken - now the Axolotl a nearly extinct creature has the ability to regenerate itself and this technology is being investigated to grow human teeth. Human windpipe was been grown from stem cells - re-growing ears and bladders is now possible. A team last year managed to grow the cells of a heart from mouse stem cells - last year they managed to reboot skin cells to stem cells which allows this re-growth.
The third trend is robotics - robots were created for a flat world - todays robots are being created to operate in a curved world. Boston Dynamics have created 'big dog' which almost overcomes the physical turin test - does it operate like a mammal? The integration of robotics and mammals is starting to happen - engineering eyes to see light and dark, hearing implants rather than hearing aids.
We need to keep an eye on the future - next year is 200 anniversary of Darwin's birth and the 150th anniversary of the publication of the Origin of Species. Humankind continues to evolve - species of hominids have overlapped in history - so what's next?
The future is a different species of the hominid the Homo Evolutis "Hominids that take direct and deliberate control over the evolution of the species - the ultimate reboot!"
_______________________
Jill Sobel performed a song about a visit to the desert in Palm Spring.
_______________________
Pete W. Singer a military analyst who has just published called 'Wired for War'. In Iraq the IOD,
roadsides bombs, have killed more soldiers than any other - the hunters for these devices are called EOD - Iraqi dissidents place a bounty on the head of each EOD soldier of $50,000. Now rather than humans being used to look for these devices, called Pacbots, now are being used in war. He showed pictures of how machines are being used in war - killer applications takes on new meaning in the war space. Tens of thousands of robots will be in 'our' war spaces - Moores Law is 'active' in the area of robotics and this is evolution in robotic sense.
When historians look at this period they will document a revolution in war fighting - robotics change the experience of war and the identity of the players in war. Ripple effects are being seen - the future of war is not going to be purely an American one, other civilizations are working on military robotics - how do we move forward in this revolution with the state of manufacturing and teaching - warfare has gone 'Open Source'. Good guys AND bad guys can create robotics systems. The power of individuals against Governments will be reinforced. Robots don't need convincing to blow themselves up!
When war is costless in terms of human life it is easier to justify it. New technologies also link us closely to war through technologies such as YouTube which connects us to the conflict. War can be turned into entertainment - called by the soldiers as War Porn - death set to music. Watch war - experience less!
How does this play out with the war of insurgencies. The thing that scares people is 'our' technology - a sogn of the cold hearted by sending out machines - not fighting as real men. A new type of warrior - a cubicle warrior - drone pilots from great distances - going home in the evening and never going into the theatre of war. War is becoming a video game - we do things in the video world we wouldn't do face to face.
Robots are emotionless they see an 80 year old grandmother in a wheelchair the same as a tank - how do we move our twenty year old thoughts of war to the technological war that is unveiling itself today. Are we going to face the reality of a technology enabled war. What are the ethics when it comes to robots.
Is it our machines or is it us that is wired for war?
_______________________
Forrest North and Yves Behar collaborated after last years TED to create an alternative power
motorbike. Twice the range of any other motorbike - Mission One - 150 mph, 0 - 100 in 5.9 seconds.
_______________________
Naturally 7 - introduced by Thomas Dolby. This group of 7 guys from New York do amazing things with the human voice and have just got into the UK charts with their first album. They call it Vcal Play by creating instruments with voice.
_______________________
David Hanson - bringing robots to life - building robots with character. Robots that can start to model feeling and start to understand people. Moved into robotics from Disney creating walking biped robots
similar to Asimo from Honda with Hanson's 'Intelligence' - speech recognition, facial tracking, naturally language processing etc. Emulating all major facial expressions the goal to create sentience in machines.
Combining the perception of people and the facial interaction to make you believe the robots are 'alive'. A new 'toy' called Zeno has been developed to become a companion for children - $299 in stores later this year.
_______________________
Bill Gates, philanthropist, also spoke at TED in 1992 talking about the software industry. He wrote a letter last week about the problems with the Gates Foundation to try and draw people in to the problems. He admits to being an optimist - he feels this way by looking ta the past - lifespan has doubles overt the last 50 years, the number of children who die before the age of 5 have been cut in half since 1960. A few key breakthroughs have had a huge impact on these figures - the next breakthrough is to cut these figures in half again.
The first problem - how do we stop a deadly disease that has been spread by mosquitoes - Malaria. This was a huge problem in the early 1900's it was first addressed by DDT to kill the mosquitoes the second to treat with Quinine. The disease has been eliminated in the developed countries - this is now mainly only in the poor countries - there is more money put into baldness drugs than put into malaria! Transmitted by mosquitoes - one tool is bed nets which prevent mosquitoes getting to mothers and children in the poor countries. The parasite and the mosquitoes evolves and therefore tools become ineffective - local eradication can occur but eventually tools become ineffective and there is now focus on the problem and therefore death rates are going down.
The second question how do you make a teacher great. Why is this important - all of us had great teachers and a great education. In the US the teaching system is pretty good - the top 20% is still good, however the balance of education is not good. Over 30% of kids in the US never finish high school - for minority kids it is over 50%. Even if you graduate and low income you have a higher chance of going to jail than getting a degree.
Having great teachers is seen as the key thing that needs to be addressed. A top quartile teacher will increase the student's test scores by at least 10%. "If we had all top quartile teachers then math achievement gap will close gap with Asia". What are the characteristics of these top quartile teachers? Surprisingly teaching quality is not affected by a masters degree in education, math major has a slight effect but overwhelmingly its the past performance is the key. On average the slightly better teachers end up leaving the system as they are not rewarded or valued.
KIPP:Houston High School the attitude is very different to normal schools. High energy levels are observed - very dynamic environment. They take disadvantaged kids and turn them into high achieving students. Teachers in normal schools are not told how well they are doing. In some States in the US it is illegal to use teacher performance when discussing tenure.
Lots more problems to address and he skill set required to tackle these problems is very broad. "It is going to take people like those attending TED to solve some of these problems".
The video of the Bill Gates speech is available here (Video)
_______________________
Session 2 - Reframe!
The afternoon session started with music by Gamelan X and ArcheDream which is a dance ensemble using highly decorative fluorescent costumes and expressive 'oriental' thematic music performing on a black stage. The whole dance experience was created online prior to the event and brought together for TED this was a first performance of this piece.
The Rickshaw bags this year's TED bag is made out of recycled coca-cola bottles - the bags this year are backpacks rather than courier bags and on the 'large' sides. Remo have provided t-shirts and ICebreaker provided merino wool t-shirts, Network for Good is a website where you can give money away to charity of your choice, 'actionmethod by behance' is a get things done website, Toms shoes are providing shoes and also give one to someone who doesn't have shoes - and much more.
_______________________
The first speaker of the afternoon is Tim Berners-Lee, Inventor and 'founder' of the World Wide Web. Tim's topic is a new reframe - 1989 he wrote a memo asking to create a hypertext system which was the concept of the World Wide Web - he did this out of frustration because at the time every system in the lab he was working was different - different hardware, different systems, different languages. He wanted to bring together all the manuals for these different systems and applications.
The community that got behind the hypertext concept was what drove the viral nature of the World Wide Web. There is still a frustration around data on the web.
Tim wants to think about where everyone puts there data on the web - he calls it Linked Data. URL's have moved away from just documents and are now referencing people, products and many other things. There are now Linked Data Standards being created the data - the roots of the information can be linked in many different ways. A new program called dPpedia - a wikipedia for data. This is another area where a community is getting behind the concept and driving it forward. He is asking for Raw Data Now rather than the processed data we are used to - people come up with many excuses for why they shouldn't give up there data.
The people who are going to solve some of the big problems of the worlds - global warming, cancer, Alzheimer's etc. have data on their machines but they don't share it. the power of Linked Data is that the underlying power of the data can be accessed by many people. Linked Data is about relationships.
OpenSTreetMap is a web site where users can annotate maps - he uses this as an example of Linked Data - each person doing their bit to populate and create data.
_______________________
Yair Landaw talks about Mass Animation following TED last year. Wiki and social network platforms used for encouraging mass creativity. Mass Animation was started from a Facebook page which allows the audience to comment on storyboards, create characters - the final film has 50 animators from 17 countries around the world. The story is about an electric guitar and is told through the medium of music.
_______________________
The next speaker from Infosys is Nandan Nilekani who has written a new book 'Imaging India' which has just been launched which documents a journey of self discovery in India. It covers the rise, fall and rise of India. Books can be written from events, as a biographical or as a series of ideas -
- Ideas that have arrived,
- ideas in progress,
- Ideas in conflict and
- Ideas in anticipation.
In India there are six ideas that have shaped the country -
- People - moving from seeing them as a burden to a human capital - becoming and being seen as engines of growth.
- Entrepreneurs - used to be seen as exploitive - from villains to role models
- English - From Language of the colonizers to the language of jobs - has become aspirational
- Technology - From man vs Machine to Man and Machine. India sells 8 million pre-paid mobile phones per month!
- Globalization - From Bombay Plan to Bombay House - where Indian companies moving abroad they have become more confident
- Deepening of Democracy - From party rule to 13 party rule.
Ideas in Progress
- Education - Universal access to primary education
- Infrastructure - Connecting the Nation - electricity, water and roads
- Cities - Engines of Growth, innovation and creativity
- Single Market - Smooth, seamless flow of goods across states.
Ideas in Conflict
- Conflicting political ideologies - leading to policy making gridlock
- Labor reforms - Job protection hampering job creation
- Higher education - state controlled or private funding?
Ideas in anticipation - learn from the West
- e-Governance
- Health - avoiding disease and prosperity
- Pensions and entitlement - taking care of the future - put in place modern systems
- Environment - can india growth be clean?
- Energy - Driving growth around new energy models
Why does this matter - one sixth of the worlds population - its important that we demostrate good practice as there is rapid growth Because of this growth we all need to be concerned about what happens in India.
Pattie Maes from MIT media lab talks about a new project in the lab which is looking at the data that we have accumulated in history which is becoming increasingly available online. Can we develop a sixth sense which can give us access to the meta data that is all around us. We don't have access to systems that allow us to get at this information. She unveiled a new 'system' which combines a webcam, a small pico projector with a mirror and a cell-phone. With this system users can approach any surface and interact with the data that the system has access to. The system users gestures by hand gestures, using colored things attached to your fingers.
This device can act as your sixth sense - for instance when shopping the system can 'sense' what you are picking up and give you signals such as by picking up a book the amazon rating can be projected on the front of the book. Projecting video onto a newspaper in real time.
Al Gore presented at TED last year where he showed slides that the ice-cap has shrunk. This year he showed the permanent ice-cap over the last 25 years where it has shrunk significantly - this is a problem because methane is created where the ice melts and microbes colonize the unfrozen land and water. In the Antarctic there is rapid melting and in the Himalayas there is massive melting of the glaciers a problem as these have historically provided drinking water form many people. In the last 5 years 70 million tons of Co2 added to the atmosphere every day - one of the major contributors is coal fired power stations. Although some new power stations have been cancelled there is massive advertising by the power industry to try and convince people that coal is clean.
"If you want to go quickly go alone if you want to go far go together to solve the sustainability problem we have to go far quickly"
Ray Anderson who is a sustainable business pioneer talked on reinventing the industrial system looking to lead the industrial world to "take nothing and do no harm". There must be an alternative to the
Take, Make, Waste approach we have used over the last 100 years. He is CEO of a carpet manufacturing company which has historically a carbon intensive industry has now been transformed - reducing carbon impact by 82%. His new product - cool carpet called Flor is environmentally friendly carpet and carpet tiles. His company has a target of having Zero impact in the planet by 2020 - this has not only been a good thing for the planet but has also been very positive on the bottom line of the company. he then read a peom which was written by one of his employees in 1996:
Tomorrow's Child
Without a name; an unseen face
and knowing not your time nor place
Tomorrow's Child, though yet unborn,
I saw you first last Tuesday morn.
A wise friend introduced us two,
and through his shining point of view
I saw a day which you would see;
A day for you, and not for me.
Knowing you has changed my thinking,
for I never had an inkling
That perhaps the things I do
might someday, somehow, threaten you.
Tomorrow's Child, my daughter-son,
I'm afraid I've just begun
To think of you and of your good,
Though always having known I should.
Begin I will to weigh the cost
of what I squander; what is lost
If ever I forget that you
will someday come to live here too.
Glenn Thomas, ©1996
_______________________
Demo at Palm Springs by Chris Hughes a technologist showed us a 2D barcode which interacts with software he has written which when showed to a camera on the computer is replaced with a video or whatever - augmented reality using nothing more than a web browser and a computer. If the barcode is moved back the video zooms and pans etc. An amazing demonstration! Chris is also the guy who has cracked the iPhone.
_______________________
Session 3 - Reconnect
Saul Griffith builds experimental boats and kites. Kites are more than 1000 years old and can lift men in 1827 pioneered kites pulling buggies in the UK. Kites was the forerunner of powered human flight and he is proposing the use of kites above 300 feet to produce clean energy. Uses robots to fly the kites for long duration flights - a single kite can produce enough power 5 households. A kite the size of a 747 could generate 50 Megawatts. Within two years he plans to have hundreds of machines (kites) in the sky.
Seth Godin marketer and author asks the question 'what do we do for a living?" - we try to change the status quo. He told a story about Nathan in San Francisco who works for he SPC chartered to get rid of stray dogs and cats off the streets. He transformed the community and made San Francisco as a 'no kill' zone for cats and dogs - everyone has a home.
We are at a point at where the concept of where ideas are created and we are now in the situation where we change things through leadership. Mass Marketing requires average ideas and plenty of ads - we have tried to hypnotize everyone into buying our products and services. We are now about tribes - work tribes, social tribes - tribes are everywhere. The internet allows people to connect - to join and form tribes. Tribes can change our world - they are what we do for a living. Find something worth doing and then create a tribe which hopefully creates a movement. You don't need everyone you just need 1000 people who cares - the true believers.
The Beatles did not decide to create teenagers they just chose to lead them. Leaders very often don't have the idea they just choose to lead and create a movement - they are heretics and choose to challenge the status quo. They say I can't do this by myself I need people to help me - by leading and creating a movement.
Three questions
- Who are you upsetting - if not your not your not challenging the status quo?
- Who are you connecting?
- Who are you leading?
Leaders: Challenge the status quo, they build a culture, they have curiosity, they connect people to one another, they often have charisma - you don't need to have it to lead but leading gives you charisma, and they commit.
Jake Eberts a producer as a child was in a boat with his Uncle and saw a beluga whale just in front of the boat - this experience has stayed with him. He started his working life as a sewage analyst in Sweden and it wasn't until the 70s that he became a film producer (he quipped that the transition wasn't difficult!). He has been recently working on a film called Oceans which took two years of pre-production and four years of filming. To get the shots in the film a whole new tranche of technologies had to be developed. They created 300 hours of footage at a cost of $75m and they are now editing it down into a feature film - this will be released by Disney in the US and Pathe in France in 2010. Jake showed 9 minutes of the footage for the first time - the final film is going to focus on the inhabitants of the sea in the environment they should be in - the beuty and the joy and their freedom - the joy of being a fish. The film also covers the damage man is inflicting but the focus will be on the positive. The film will give us hope!
Photographer, Yann Arthus-Bertrand uses images to try and inspire people to think bigger. His work is to show our impact in the planet - the problem is that we don't want to be what we know. We use three times more oil than we find every year. THere is a new passage opened through the ice between
the Atlantic and the Pacific. Kilimanjaro is now without Ice which is interesting as I climbed this in 2004 and there was still ice there then.
He shows his picture in the streets - the next exhibition is in New York. He is now using a different approach and interviewed 5000 people about 'who am I' - 'what is family'. the project is called "6 billion others' the website is www.6billionothers.org.
For the last three years he has been shooting a movie about the state of the planet. A story about life on the earth. We depend on waterm forrests, deserts, fishing, breeding, farming what binds us together is more than divides us. I the last 50 years we have altered the planet more than in the previous 6 million years since we first walked upright. The movie is called HOME and was filmed in 50 countries around the world and is going to be distributed free and will have no copyright and can download the film on the Internet on the 5th of June this year.
"It is too late to be pessimistic - we need to be bold."
Ted showed the film from YouTube called Where the Hell
is Matt - a guy from Seattle who does a dance all over the world and has an amazing following from all over the world. You can't watch the film without feeling good and wondering where the hell he is - he is in Palm Springs with us. The videos are about connecting people - what we are all about. He is now taking dance from different
cultures to other cultures - in Hong Kong teach people to Tango - this an idea but not a plan. He want to teach everybody two moves he learnt in India - he is anticipating a fascinating disaster.
The last 'speaker' of the day was born in Moscow,
Regina Spektor, she is a new singer/songwriter and sang for us a new song which brings her traditional classical training to her contemporary songs bringing piano and her amazing voice together to create a 'beguiling' picture of everyday life - stories about ordinary life.
A long but amazing day - my apologies for the long blog but this is my record of the event - I can look back over the next few weeks and months to reconnect myself with the 'energy' that TED creates.